CURRECY UPDATE 18/5/2026

 TODAY 18/5/2026 USDINR CMP96.2975 GBPINR CMP128.2235 EURINR 111.90

Nifty 50 Futures OVERVIEW 12/5/2026 10.50 A.M

 

Nifty 50 Futures CMP: 23,654

Trend: Short-Term Bearish to Sideways Price has broken below important short-term support and is trading near the 0.618 Fibonacci zone. Momentum indicators are weak and RSI is near oversold territory.

Key Support Levels Immediate Support: 23,500

Strong Support: 23,200–23,250

Major Breakdown Level: 23,000

Key Resistance Levels Immediate Resistance: 23,720

Major Resistance: 23,900

Strong Supply Zone: 24,250

Price Action View Recent lower highs and lower lows indicate bearish pressure.

Price rejected multiple times from 24,250–24,500 zone.

Current candles show panic selling near support area.

RSI weak below midline suggests momentum still negative.

However, oversold condition may trigger sharp pullback bounce.

Trade Setup SELL ON RISE (Preferred Setup) Entry Price: 23,700–23,740

Target 1: 23,500

Target 2: 23,250

Target 3: 23,050

Stop Loss Strict SL: 23,900

Risk–Reward Ratio Risk: ~160–180 points

Reward: ~250–450 points

Risk Reward: Approx. 1:1.8 to 1:2.5

Probability Downside Probability: 65–72%

Probability remains bearish while price stays below 23,900.

Alternate Bullish Setup Only if Nifty Futures sustains above 23,720–23,750 with strong volume:

Upside targets: 23,900 → 24,050

Below 23,500 again → bullish setup fails.

Trading Action ✅ Preferred strategy: Sell on rise

✅ Aggressive traders can book partial profits near 23,500 support

❌ Avoid fresh long positions at current CMP

❌ Breakdown below 23,500 can accelerate selling

Realistic View Current setup is not a strong long trade setup. Market structure favors cautious bearish/range trading unless Nifty quickly reclaims 23,750+.

👉 For fresh longs at CMP: NO TRADE until confirmation appears.

Bank Nifty Index OVERVIEW

 Bank Nifty Index (CMP ~55,800) 👇

📊 Trend & Structure Analysis Primary Trend: Sideways to weak

Pattern: V-shaped recovery → now lower high formation

Price Position: Testing trendline support + 20 EMA zone

👉 Market is in a make-or-break zone (bounce or breakdown)

📍 Key Support & Resistance 🔼 Resistance Zones: 56,800 – 57,000 → Strong supply (recent rejection)

57,200 – 57,500 → Breakout zone

58,000 → Positional resistance

🔽 Support Zones: 55,800 – 55,600 → Immediate support (current zone)

55,000 – 54,800 → Breakdown confirmation

53,500 – 53,000 → Strong demand zone

⚡ Pivot Levels (Approx) Pivot: 56,200

R1: 56,800

R2: 57,300

S1: 55,600

S2: 55,000

👉 Price trading below pivot → bearish bias

📉 RSI View (Estimated) RSI near 40–45

Below 50 → weak momentum

Not oversold → more downside possible

👉 Confirms sell-on-rise strategy

🎯 Trade Setups ❌ SELL SETUP (High Probability) Entry: 56,200 – 56,600

Stop Loss: 57,200

Target:

55,600 (T1)

55,000 (T2)

54,500 (T3)

👉 Probability: 70% 👉 Reason: Resistance + below pivot + weak RSI

✅ BUY SETUP (Only on Breakout) Entry: Above 57,000

Stop Loss: 56,300

Target:

57,500

58,000

👉 Probability: 55% 👉 Only if strong breakout with volume

⚡ Intraday Quick Levels Sell Below: 55,700 → Target 55,300 / 55,000

Buy Above: 56,900 → Target 57,200 / 57,500

🧠 Technical Conclusion ✔ Market showing distribution near resistance ✔ Repeated rejection near 57,000 ✔ RSI + Pivot both weak

👉 Best Strategy: ➡️ Sell on rise ➡️ Avoid mid-range trades ➡️ Wait for breakout or breakdown

📌 Pro Insight ⚠️ Current zone = Trap Zone (High Volatility)

👉 Big move only after:

🔼 Above 57,000 → Bullish breakout

🔽 Below 55,600 → Bearish continuation

NIFTY 50 FUTURE OVERVIEW

NIFTY 50 FUTURE   (current ~23,920 zone) based on structure, RSI behavior, and pivot logic:

📊 Trend & Structure Analysis Primary Trend: Sideways to mildly bearish

Pattern Visible: V-shaped recovery → now facing rejection near resistance

Price Position: Near 20 EMA (blue) and support trendline retest

👉 This is a decision zone (bounce or breakdown)

📍 Key Support & Resistance 🔼 Resistance: 24,200 – 24,300 → Strong supply zone (multiple rejections)

24,500 – 24,600 → Swing high resistance

🔽 Support: 23,900 – 23,800 → Immediate support (current zone)

23,600 → Breakdown confirmation level

23,300 – 23,200 → Strong demand zone

⚡ Pivot Levels (Approx) Pivot: 24,050

R1: 24,300

R2: 24,550

S1: 23,800

S2: 23,600

👉 Price is currently below pivot → bearish bias

📉 RSI View (Estimated) RSI hovering around 40–45

Below 50 → weak momentum

Not oversold yet → room for downside

👉 Confirms sell-on-rise bias

🎯 Trade Setups ❌ SELL SETUP (High Probability) Entry: 24,050 – 24,150 (pullback sell)

Stop Loss: 24,320

Target:

23,800 (T1)

23,600 (T2)

23,300 (T3)

👉 Probability: 70% 👉 Reason: Resistance rejection + below pivot + weak RSI

✅ BUY SETUP (Only on Confirmation) Entry: Above 24,300 (strong breakout)

Stop Loss: 24,050

Target:

24,500

24,650

👉 Probability: 55% 👉 Only if strong volume breakout

⚡ Intraday Quick Levels Sell Below: 23,850 → Target 23,700 / 23,600

Buy Above: 24,250 → Target 24,400 / 24,500

🧠 Technical Conclusion ✔ Market is in range-bound distribution phase ✔ Repeated rejection near 24,200–24,300 ✔ RSI + Pivot both showing weakness

👉 Best Strategy: ➡️ Sell on rise ➡️ Avoid buying in middle zone ➡️ Trade only at key levels

📌 Pro Trader Insight This zone is a trap area (whipsaw likely)

Big move only after:

🔼 Break above 24,300 (bullish)

🔽 Break below 23,800 (bearish)

बैंक निफ्टी फ्यूचर्स और निफ़्टी फ्यूचर ओवर व्यू

 "बाजार की चाल, हमारी नज़र! ​बैंक निफ्टी फ्यूचर्स की विस्तृत विश्लेषण: ब्रेकआउट लेवल्स: 57,410 के ऊपर जाने पर 57,725 और फिर 58,388 तक की तेज़ी संभव! सपोर्ट ज़ोन: 56,900 के नीचे, 56,876, 56,707 और 56,524 पर मज़बूत सपोर्ट। ​स्टॉपलॉस के साथ व्यापार करें और समझदारी से निवेश करें। अधिक जानकारी और संपर्क करे 07949268292

अब आज की निफ्टी की बात करें तो निफ़्टी फिलहाल चल रही है 24370 और यह जो है वह 23,920 के सपोर्ट के साथ खड़ी हुई है फिलहाल और अगर यह टूटा है लेवल तो नीचे 23652 और 23250 क्या लेवल तक फिसलने की तैयारी कर सकता है और उससे भी अगर नीचे गया तो 22740 का स्टॉपलॉस लगाकर लंबी बड़ी खेल सकते हैं वह खिलाड़ी के लिए टारगेट जो है वह ऊपर की साइड में 24570 क्रॉस होता है तो ऊपर में सीधा ही 25010 के आसपास पहले लेवल बन रहा है और दूसरा लेवल 25250 का ऊपर में लेवल बन रहा है इस लेवल को ध्यान में रखकर आप काम कर सकते हैं निफ़्टी फ्यूचर में बात कर रहे हैं हम लोग तो इस लेवल को ध्यान में रखकर निफ्टी भी खरीददारी करके चला जा सकता है और यह स्टॉपलॉस जो दिए हैं उसके मुताबिक आप सावधानी रखते हुए आप ट्रेडिंग कर सकते हैं निफ्टी फ्यूचर में भी इस लेवल का ध्यान रखना है

Tata Power Company Limited OVERVIEW AND BUY ON DIP

 

📊 Tata Power Company Limited (CMP ₹439.15) – Technical Analysis 🔷 Trend Analysis (Based on Your Chart) Clear W-pattern breakout (Double Bottom) → Strong bullish reversal

Price has broken above neckline (~₹435) with momentum

Trading above short-term moving averages → Strength confirmed

Approaching major resistance trendline near ₹445–₹460

👉 Conclusion: ✔ Trend: Bullish (Reversal + Breakout) ✔ Structure: Higher Low formation → continuation likely

📊 Key Levels 🔻 Support: ₹435 (Immediate breakout support)

₹420 – ₹410 (Strong demand zone)

₹390 (Major swing support)

🔺 Resistance: ₹445 – ₹450 (Immediate hurdle)

₹460 – ₹480 (Major resistance zone)

₹500 (Positional breakout level)

🎯 Trading Strategy ⚡ Intraday Setup Buy Above: ₹442

Target: ₹448 / ₹455

Stop Loss: ₹432

Sell Below: ₹432

Target: ₹422

👉 Probability: 60–65% (volatile breakout zone)

📦 Short-Term (1–3 Weeks) Buy Zone: ₹430 – ₹435 (on dips)

Target: ₹460 – ₹480

Stop Loss: ₹405

👉 Probability: 70%

📊 Medium-Term (1–3 Months) Pattern breakout + sector strength (Power/Energy theme)

Sustained above ₹435 → strong upside continuation

Target: ₹500 – ₹540

Stop Loss: ₹380

👉 Probability: 75%

🏆 Long-Term (6–18 Months) Strong EV + Renewable energy growth story

Institutional accumulation visible

Target: ₹600 – ₹700+

Stop Loss: ₹320

👉 Probability: 80%

🚚 Delivery-Based Investment Plan Accumulation Zone: ₹410 – ₹435

Add on Breakout: Above ₹450

Strategy: Staggered buying + hold

⚡ Best Strategy Right Now Aggressive: Buy breakout above ₹445

Safe: Buy near ₹430 support

Investors: Hold and trail stop below ₹410

📌 Final Verdict Trend: Bullish Reversal Confirmed

Momentum: Strong

Risk: Only below ₹410

👉 Overall View: Stock has given a fresh breakout after consolidation, and dips are buying opportunities.

Nifty Futures overview

 

Nifty Futures (CMP ~24,260) based on your chart + latest valuation data 👇

📊 NIFTY FUTURE Analysis (CMP 24,260) 🔹 Technical View (Chart Based) Trend: Range-bound → Mild Bullish Bias

Price trading between 0.5 – 0.786 Fibonacci zone

Consolidation after bounce → breakout attempt

📍 Key Levels (as per your chart) Strong Support: 24,100 – 23,800

Immediate Support: 24,150

Resistance: 24,310 – 24,450

Major Resistance: 24,600

👉 Currently near 0.618 Fib (24,196) → crucial pivot

🎯 Trading Setup 👉 Buy Above: 24,300 (breakout confirmation) 👉 Buy on Dip: 24,100 – 24,200 👉 Target 1: 24,450 👉 Target 2: 24,600 👉 Target 3: 24,800 👉 Stop Loss: 23,950

📊 Probability Upside Probability: 60%

Downside Risk: 40%

✔ Reason: Consolidation + higher lows + support holding

📈 Fundamental View (Index Level) 💰 Valuation (Nifty 50) PE Ratio: ~20.9

Historical Avg: ~18–20

👉 Market is slightly overvalued but near fair zone

💵 Earnings (EPS) Nifty EPS (approx): ₹1150–₹1200 range (derived)

👉 Earnings stable but not aggressive

📊 Future EPS Growth Expected Growth: 10%–12% CAGR

✔ Drivers:

Banking & financial growth

Capex cycle

Consumption recovery

👉 Analysts expect Nifty ~28,000–29,000 by end 2026 driven by earnings growth

💸 Dividend Yield Dividend Yield: ~1.2% – 1.3%

👉 Moderate income, focus is growth

📊 Fair Value Calculation Method (PE Based): Fair PE: 19–21

Expected EPS: ~₹1200

👉 Fair Value = 22,800 – 25,200

📌 Current Level 24,260 → ✔ Near Fair Value (No deep discount)

⚖️ Overall View ✅ Positives ✔ Strong domestic economy ✔ Earnings recovery expected ✔ Support levels holding

⚠️ Risks ❌ Global uncertainty ❌ Resistance near 24,500 ❌ Volatility (options expiry moves)

📌 Final Verdict (Shreeji Style) 🔹 Intraday: 👉 Range: 24,100 – 24,450

🔹 Short Term (1–3 days): 👉 Breakout above 24,300 → bullish move

🔹 Positional (1–2 weeks): 👉 24,600 – 24,800 possible

🚀 Action Plan ✔ Buy above 24,300 or near 24,150 support ✔ Keep strict SL 23,950 ✔ Avoid aggressive trades in range