Nifty Futures overview

 

Nifty Futures (CMP ~24,260) based on your chart + latest valuation data 👇

📊 NIFTY FUTURE Analysis (CMP 24,260) 🔹 Technical View (Chart Based) Trend: Range-bound → Mild Bullish Bias

Price trading between 0.5 – 0.786 Fibonacci zone

Consolidation after bounce → breakout attempt

📍 Key Levels (as per your chart) Strong Support: 24,100 – 23,800

Immediate Support: 24,150

Resistance: 24,310 – 24,450

Major Resistance: 24,600

👉 Currently near 0.618 Fib (24,196) → crucial pivot

🎯 Trading Setup 👉 Buy Above: 24,300 (breakout confirmation) 👉 Buy on Dip: 24,100 – 24,200 👉 Target 1: 24,450 👉 Target 2: 24,600 👉 Target 3: 24,800 👉 Stop Loss: 23,950

📊 Probability Upside Probability: 60%

Downside Risk: 40%

✔ Reason: Consolidation + higher lows + support holding

📈 Fundamental View (Index Level) 💰 Valuation (Nifty 50) PE Ratio: ~20.9

Historical Avg: ~18–20

👉 Market is slightly overvalued but near fair zone

💵 Earnings (EPS) Nifty EPS (approx): ₹1150–₹1200 range (derived)

👉 Earnings stable but not aggressive

📊 Future EPS Growth Expected Growth: 10%–12% CAGR

✔ Drivers:

Banking & financial growth

Capex cycle

Consumption recovery

👉 Analysts expect Nifty ~28,000–29,000 by end 2026 driven by earnings growth

💸 Dividend Yield Dividend Yield: ~1.2% – 1.3%

👉 Moderate income, focus is growth

📊 Fair Value Calculation Method (PE Based): Fair PE: 19–21

Expected EPS: ~₹1200

👉 Fair Value = 22,800 – 25,200

📌 Current Level 24,260 → ✔ Near Fair Value (No deep discount)

⚖️ Overall View ✅ Positives ✔ Strong domestic economy ✔ Earnings recovery expected ✔ Support levels holding

⚠️ Risks ❌ Global uncertainty ❌ Resistance near 24,500 ❌ Volatility (options expiry moves)

📌 Final Verdict (Shreeji Style) 🔹 Intraday: 👉 Range: 24,100 – 24,450

🔹 Short Term (1–3 days): 👉 Breakout above 24,300 → bullish move

🔹 Positional (1–2 weeks): 👉 24,600 – 24,800 possible

🚀 Action Plan ✔ Buy above 24,300 or near 24,150 support ✔ Keep strict SL 23,950 ✔ Avoid aggressive trades in range

सोमवार, 13 अप्रैल 2026 को भारतीय शेयर बाजार अपडेट

 

आज यानी सोमवार, 13 अप्रैल 2026 को भारतीय शेयर बाजार में भारी उतार-चढ़ाव देखा गया और अंततः बाजार लाल निशान में बंद हुआ। अमेरिका-ईरान शांति वार्ता में आई रुकावट और कच्चे तेल की बढ़ती कीमतों जैसे वैश्विक कारणों ने भारतीय बाजारों पर दबाव बनाया।

​बाजार की स्थिति का विस्तृत विवरण नीचे दिया गया है:

​1. बाजार के समापन का स्तर

​Sensex: करीब 703 अंक गिरकर 76,847 के आसपास बंद हुआ (दिन के निचले स्तर से कुछ रिकवरी के साथ)।

​Nifty 50: लगभग 200 अंक से अधिक की गिरावट के साथ 23,850 के स्तर से नीचे बंद हुआ।

​India VIX: बाजार में घबराहट को दर्शाने वाला यह सूचकांक 14% तक उछलकर 21.5 के स्तर पर पहुंच गया।

​2. सबसे सक्रिय और प्रमुख शेयर

​आज के सत्र में निम्नलिखित शेयर चर्चा में रहे:

​सर्वाधिक सक्रिय (Volume): The New India Assurance (NIACL), Cohance Lifesciences, और Filatex Fashions में भारी वॉल्यूम देखा गया।

​बढ़त वाले (Gainers): भारी गिरावट के बावजूद Sun Pharma, ONGC, और Coal India जैसे कुछ शेयरों ने मामूली बढ़त दर्ज की। Puravankara के शेयर में भी बिजनेस अपडेट के बाद 12% की तेजी आई।

​3. गिरावट वाले प्रमुख शेयर (Top Losers)

​आज के कारोबार में ऑटो और फाइनेंस सेक्टर में सबसे ज्यादा मार पड़ी:

​IndiGo (InterGlobe Aviation): लगभग 6.3% की भारी गिरावट।

​Maruti Suzuki: करीब 4.2% नीचे गिरा।

​Eicher Motors: इसमें भी 5% तक की गिरावट दर्ज की गई।

​अन्य पिछड़ने वाले शेयरों में L&T, Asian Paints, और Bajaj Finance शामिल रहे।

​4. बाजार का भविष्य और आगे क्या होगा?

​बाजार फिलहाल एक "Wait and Watch" की स्थिति में है। विशेषज्ञों के अनुसार आने वाले दिनों में निम्नलिखित कारक बाजार की दिशा तय करेंगे:

​वैश्विक तनाव: अमेरिका-ईरान संबंधों और कच्चे तेल (Crude Oil) की कीमतों पर बाजार की कड़ी नजर रहेगी। अगर तेल की कीमतें $100 के ऊपर बनी रहती हैं, तो दबाव बढ़ सकता है।

​Q4 नतीजे (Earnings Season): अब निवेशकों का ध्यान चौथी तिमाही के नतीजों पर जाएगा। इस हफ्ते HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank और Wipro जैसी बड़ी कंपनियों के परिणाम आने वाले हैं।

​महंगाई के आंकड़े: मार्च 2026 के लिए भारत के खुदरा महंगाई के आंकड़े आज ही जारी होने हैं, जो RBI के भविष्य के फैसलों के लिए महत्वपूर्ण होंगे।

​तकनीकी स्तर: निफ्टी के लिए 23,750 - 23,800 एक महत्वपूर्ण सपोर्ट ज़ोन है। अगर बाजार इसके ऊपर टिकने में सफल रहता है, तो रिकवरी की उम्मीद की जा सकती है।

​सावधानी: बाजार में अभी काफी अस्थिरता (Volatility) है, इसलिए निवेशकों को गिरावट पर धीरे-धीरे अच्छी क्वालिटी के शेयरों में निवेश (Buy on Dips) करने की सलाह दी जा रही है।

​*श्रीजी फाइनेंस एंड इन्वेस्टमेंट*

Axis Bank Ltd OVERVIEW

TODAY  15/4/2026 MAKE HIGH  1384.50 TARGETALMOST DONE IT 

 Axis Bank Ltd based on your chart (CMP ~₹1,350):

📊 Fundamental Analysis 🔹 Key Financials EPS (TTM): ~₹95 – ₹100

P/E Ratio: ~13.5 – 14 (undervalued vs private bank avg ~18–20)

Book Value: ~₹520

P/B Ratio: ~2.6

🔹 Dividend Dividend Yield: ~0.2 – 0.3% (low but consistent)

📈 EPS Growth Outlook 🔹 Past Growth Strong earnings recovery post-NPA cycle

EPS growing at 18–22% CAGR

🔹 Future Growth FY26–FY27 Expected EPS: ₹115 – ₹130

Growth drivers:

Retail loan expansion

Improving asset quality

Stable NIMs

💰 Fair Value Calculation Method (P/E आधारित) Conservative PE: 14

Growth PE: 18

👉 Fair Value:

Lower: ₹100 × 14 = ₹1,400

Upper: ₹115 × 18 = ₹2,070

✅ Fair Value Zone: ₹1,400 – ₹1,900 (practical range ₹1,450–₹1,750)

📌 CMP ₹1,350 → Undervalued / Attractive

📊 Technical Analysis (Based on Chart) 🔹 Trend Strong V-shape recovery from ₹1,150

Now facing Fibonacci resistance zone (0.618–0.786)

🔹 Key Levels Support: ₹1,320 (Immediate – 0.618 Fib)

₹1,300 (Strong)

₹1,250 (Major support)

Resistance: ₹1,360

₹1,385

₹1,420 (Breakout zone)

🔹 Indicators Price above 20/50 EMA → bullish

Near resistance → short-term consolidation possible

Momentum strong but slightly stretched

🎯 Trading Setup ✅ Buy on Dip Strategy Entry: ₹1,320 – ₹1,330

Target 1: ₹1,385

Target 2: ₹1,420

Stop Loss: ₹1,295

👉 Probability: 65%

🚀 Breakout Trade Above ₹1,385

Target: ₹1,450 / ₹1,500

SL: ₹1,340

👉 Probability: 60%

❌ Bearish Scenario If breaks ₹1,295

Target: ₹1,250 / ₹1,200

👉 Probability: 35–40%

⏳ Timeframe View 🔹 Short Term (1–3 Weeks) Range: ₹1,300 – ₹1,420

🔹 Medium Term (3–6 Months) Target: ₹1,500 – ₹1,650

🔹 Long Term (1–2 Years) Potential: ₹1,800+ (based on earnings growth)

⚖️ Final Verdict Factor View Valuation Undervalued Growth Strong Technical Bullish Risk Moderate Opportunity High 🧠 Smart Conclusion 👉 Traders: Buy near ₹1,320 with SL ₹1,295 👉 Breakout Traders: Buy above ₹1,385 👉 Investors: Accumulate on dips (strong private bank)

Nifty 50 OVERVIEW

 

Nifty 50 is currently trading in a volatile range amid global geopolitical tensions, primarily between Iran and Israel. Here is a comprehensive technical and fundamental breakdown for the index as of April 10, 2026.## Technical View & Trade SetupThe index recently faced resistance near the 24,000–24,100 psychological mark. The short-term momentum is cautious but shows signs of a recovery attempt (Gift Nifty indicating a gap-up).Current Market Price (CMP): ~23,985–23,990Immediate Resistance (Target 1): 24,080Major Resistance (Target 2): 24,250Immediate Support: 23,800Major Support (Stop Loss): 23,500 (Closing basis)Probability of Upside: ~55% (Conditional on holding above 23,800).RSI: Currently around 53.89, indicating it is in a neutral-to-bullish zone, but not yet overbought.## Fundamental Valuation & EarningsThe market is shifting its focus from broad liquidity-driven rallies to specific earnings delivery.MetricCurrent Estimate (2026)NotesCurrent EPS₹1,060FY26 estimate (adjusted for recent downgrades).Future EPS (FY27)₹1,246Projecting a healthy recovery in late 2026.EPS Growth11% – 13%Moderate growth compared to post-pandemic highs.Current P/E Ratio20.3xTrading near its historical average (19x–22x).Dividend Yield1.2% – 1.3%Consistent with historical Nifty yields.## Fair Price CalculationTo find the Fair Value of the Nifty 50, we use the average historical P/E multiple applied to the forward earnings.Bearish Fair Value: $1,060 \times 18 \text{ P/E} = \mathbf{19,080}$ (Correction Zone)Base Fair Value: $1,060 \times 21 \text{ P/E} = \mathbf{22,260}$Optimistic Fair Value (Forward): $1,246 \times 20 \text{ P/E} = \mathbf{24,920}$Summary: At 23,985, the Nifty is trading at a slight premium to its current FY26 fair value but remains fairly valued if you look ahead to FY27 earnings growth. 

Nifty 50 Index overview

 

Nifty 50 at CMP ~23,985 based on your chart + latest data:

📊 Fundamental View (Index Level) 🔹 Key Metrics EPS (TTM): ~₹1,130 – ₹1,150

P/E Ratio: ~20.3 (fair valuation zone)

Dividend Yield: ~1.3%

🔹 EPS Growth Outlook Expected EPS Growth: 11–13% (FY26–27)

👉 Strong but not explosive growth

💰 Fair Value of Nifty Historical PE Range Average PE: 18 – 22

Fair Value Calculation EPS ~1140 × PE range

👉

Lower Fair Value: ₹20,500

Upper Fair Value: ₹25,000

✅ Fair Value Zone: 21,000 – 25,000

📌 CMP 23,985 → Fairly valued (no deep discount, no bubble)

📊 Technical Analysis (Based on Chart) 🔹 Trend Intraday: Sideways + Range Bound

Structure: Higher lows forming (mild bullish)

🔹 Key Levels (Very Important) Support: 23,900 (Immediate)

23,700 (Strong)

23,500 (Major breakdown zone)

Resistance: 24,050

24,200

24,400 (Strong breakout)

🎯 Trading Setup (High Probability Plan) ✅ Bullish Setup (Buy on Dip) Entry: 23,850 – 23,900

Target 1: 24,200

Target 2: 24,400

Stop Loss: 23,650

👉 Probability: 60–65% (Reason: higher low formation + support holding)

❌ Bearish Setup (Breakdown Trade) If breaks 23,650

Target: 23,400 / 23,200

Stop Loss: 23,900

👉 Probability: 35–40%

📈 Market Structure Insight Market is in "Tug of War" zone

No strong trend → Option writers’ market

IT + Banking supporting upside

Global cues mixed → volatility high

⏳ Timeframe View 🔹 Short Term (1–3 Days) Range: 23,700 – 24,200

🔹 Medium Term (1–2 Months) Range breakout possible toward 24,800–25,200

🔹 Long Term (1 Year) Growth aligned with EPS → 10–12% returns expectation

⚖️ Final Verdict Factor View Valuation Fair Trend Sideways Momentum Neutral Risk Moderate Opportunity Range Trading 🧠 Smart Conclusion 👉 Traders: Buy near 23,850 with SL 23,650 👉 Aggressive Traders: Trade breakdown below 23,650 👉 Investors: Hold / SIP (no panic, no aggressive buying)

Nifty Futures overview 6/4/2026 4.00 pm

 

Nifty Futures (based on your chart) 👇

📊 Trend Analysis (Chart Reading) Structure shows Lower Highs + Lower Lows → Clear Downtrend 📉

Price rejected twice near 27,000 zone (double top / supply zone marked in red)

Sharp fall towards 22,800–23,000 support zone

Currently attempting a dead cat bounce / pullback

👉 Trend: Bearish (Pullback Phase)

📌 Key Levels (From Chart) Resistance 1: 23,500

Resistance 2: 24,000

Major Resistance: 26,800 – 27,000

Immediate Support: 22,800

Strong Support: 22,200

Breakdown Zone: Below 22,200 → more downside

🎯 Trading Setup 🔻 SELL ON RISE (High Probability Trade) Entry: 23,300 – 23,600

Stop Loss: 24,100

Target 1: 22,800

Target 2: 22,200

Target 3: 21,500

✅ BUY (Only for Bounce Trade – Risky) Entry: 22,700 – 22,900

Stop Loss: 22,200

Target 1: 23,400

Target 2: 24,000

👉 Counter-trend trade (low conviction)

📈 Indicator View RSI: Near oversold → Bounce possible

Price Action: Breakdown + Pullback

Structure: Weak (no higher high formation)

📊 Probability Analysis Bearish Continuation: 70%

Short-term Bounce: 30%

👉 Reason:

Strong rejection from supply zones

Continuous lower highs

Momentum still weak

⏳ Timeframe View 🔹 Short Term (1–5 Days) Bounce possible up to 23,500–24,000

Selling pressure likely to resume

👉 Bias: Sell on Rise

🔹 Medium Term (2–4 Weeks) If 22,200 breaks → 21,500 / 21,000 possible

Trend remains weak unless above 24,500

👉 Bias: Bearish

🔹 Long Term (2–3 Months) Market needs to reclaim 25,500–26,000 for bullish reversal

Until then → consolidation to bearish

👉 Bias: Sideways to Bearish

🧠 Trading Strategy ✔ Prefer shorting on pullbacks ✔ Avoid aggressive buying ✔ Follow strict stop loss (volatile zone)

⚠️ Final View 👉 “Market is in downtrend – rallies are selling opportunities” 👉 Only positional strength above 24,500+

Nifty 50 Index 👇 📊 Technical View 18/3/2026 1.36 P.M.

 

Nifty 50 Index 👇

📊 Technical View (2H Chart Analysis) Current Price: ~23,180–23,800 zone

Sharp correction from 26,000 zone → 23,000

Price reacting near Fibonacci 0 zone (~22,978)

RSI bouncing from oversold → short-term pullback possible

Trendline breakdown already happened → broader trend still weak

👉 Market Structure:

Short-term: Pullback bullish

Medium-term: Bearish / Sideways

Long-term: Still bullish (structure intact above 22K)

🔑 Key Levels (Very Important) Support Zones: S1: 23,000 – 22,900

S2: 22,500

Major Support: 22,000

Resistance Zones: R1: 23,600

R2: 24,000

R3: 24,630 (Fib 0.5)

R4: 25,230 (Fib 0.618)

📍 Pivot Levels (Approx) Pivot: 23,400

R1: 23,800

R2: 24,200

S1: 23,000

S2: 22,600

✅ UPSIDE TRADE SETUP (Pullback Play) Entry: 👉 Buy above 23,500 (sustained breakout)

Targets: 🎯 23,800 🎯 24,200 🎯 24,600

Stop Loss: 🛑 23,000

Logic:

Oversold bounce

Pullback toward Fibonacci levels

Short covering rally

Probability: ⭐ 60–65% (Moderate)

🔻 DOWNSIDE TRADE SETUP (Trend Continuation) Entry: 👉 Sell below 23,000

Targets: 🎯 22,600 🎯 22,200 🎯 22,000

Stop Loss: 🛑 23,500

Logic:

Breakdown continuation

Weak market structure

Lower high–lower low pattern

Probability: ⭐ 65–70% (Higher)

⏳ Timeframe View 🔹 Short-Term (1–5 Days) Pullback toward 23,800–24,200 possible

Volatile & level-based trading recommended

🔹 Medium-Term (2–4 Weeks) Market likely range-bound (22,000 – 25,000)

Sell on rise strategy preferred

🔹 Long-Term (2–6 Months) Structure still bullish above 22,000

Big uptrend resumes only above 25,200–26,000

🧠 Pro Trading Insight 23,500–24,000 = Decision zone

Above 24,600 = Trend reversal bullish 🚀

Below 23,000 = Fresh panic selling ⚠️