Thursday, February 13, 2025

TGV SRAAC Limited BUY POSITION CALL

 

TGV Sraac Adds 5 Megawatts of Solar Power Capacity

Jan 30, 202517:58 


TGVSL

−1.46%

TGV Sraac 

TGVSL

 added a solar power capacity of five megawatts, according to a Wednesday filing with the Indian stock exchanges.


The move increases the chemicals manufacturer's total solar capacity to 35.40 MW, the filing said.


Technical Analysis of TGV SRAAC Limited (1-hour chart):

1. Trend and Channel

  • The chart shows a descending channel, marked by two parallel downward-sloping trendlines. This indicates a bearish trend over the past few weeks.

2. Support and Resistance Levels

  • Support:
    • The nearest support level is 91, a critical level where the price previously rebounded multiple times.
  • Resistance:
    • 106.35 is a key resistance. The price was rejected multiple times around this level.
    • The next significant resistance levels are 116.95 and 120.71.

3. Current Price Action

  • The price is trading near the middle of the channel, around 99.10.
  • A breakout above the upper channel line would indicate bullish momentum, while a breakdown below the lower channel suggests further downside.

4. Relative Strength Index (RSI)

  • The RSI is around 46.71, suggesting a neutral to slightly bearish momentum. It’s not in overbought or oversold territory, meaning the price could move either way depending on volume and momentum.

Target and Stop-Loss Suggestions:

1. Bullish View (If Price Breaks Above Resistance or Channel):

  • Entry: If the price breaks above 106.35.
  • Target 1: 116.95 (first significant resistance).
  • Target 2: 120.71 (next key resistance).
  • Stop-Loss: Below the 106.35 breakout level to protect from false breakouts.

2. Bearish View (If Price Breaks Below Support or Channel):

  • Entry: If the price breaks below 91.
  • Target 1: 85 (potential support level below 91).
  • Stop-Loss: Above the 91 support to limit risk from a false breakdown.

Summary:

  • Watch for a breakout or breakdown from the descending channel and key levels.
  • The RSI indicates no immediate trend strength, so volume confirmation and price action are essential before taking positions.

Short-Term, Medium-Term, and Long-Term Views for TGV SRAAC Limited (1-hour chart)


1. Short-Term View (1-2 weeks)

Trend:

  • The price is moving within a descending channel, indicating short-term bearish momentum.
  • RSI: Neutral at 46.71, suggesting consolidation.

Key Levels:

  • Immediate Resistance: 106.35
  • Immediate Support: 91.00

Possible Scenarios:

  • Bullish: Break above 106.35 could push the price toward 116.95.
  • Bearish: If the price breaks below 91, expect further downside toward 85.00 or lower.

Strategy:

  • Watch for a breakout or breakdown from the channel and key levels before initiating trades. Short-term traders can aim for 10-15% moves with tight stop-losses.

2. Medium-Term View (1-3 months)

Trend:

  • The price is in a descending channel, part of a broader correction from higher levels.
  • If the price remains within the channel, the medium-term outlook remains bearish.

Key Levels:

  • Medium-Term Resistance: 116.95 and 120.71. A break above these levels would suggest a trend reversal.
  • Medium-Term Support: 91.00. A breakdown could signal a deeper correction.

Possible Scenarios:

  • Bullish: Break above 120.71 could lead to a rally toward 130+ levels.
  • Bearish: Sustained breakdown below 91 could lead to new lows.

Strategy:

  • Swing traders can consider trades near the channel boundaries with wider stop-losses. Monitor momentum indicators (RSI and MACD) for signs of reversal or continuation.

3. Long-Term View (3+ months)

Trend:

  • The long-term trend depends on how the price reacts at major support and resistance levels.
  • Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 120.71 could lead to a potential long-term uptrend.
  • Bearish Scenario: If the price remains in the descending channel or breaks below 91, the stock could remain under pressure for an extended period.

Key Levels:

  • Long-Term Resistance: 120.71, followed by potential resistance at 130-140 levels.
  • Long-Term Support: Below 91, potential long-term support could be near 85 or lower.

Strategy:

  • Long-term investors should look for clear signs of trend reversal, such as a breakout above 116.95 or 120.71, to consider bullish positions. Conservative stop-losses should be placed below major support levels.

Summary:

  • Short-Term: Watch for a break of 106.35 or 91 for quick moves.
  • Medium-Term: Price must break out of the descending channel for a trend reversal.
  • Long-Term: Monitor 120.71 for signs of a significant breakout or sustained bearishness below 91.

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