🔍 Technical View (Chart Analysis) Trendline Resistance: There's a clear descending trendline from early January 2025 acting as dynamic resistance. Price recently touched and rejected from that trendline around 1165–1170.
Horizontal Resistance Levels:
1229 and 1252: Major horizontal resistances, tested multiple times in the past.
1276: Next major resistance zone.
Horizontal Support Levels:
1021: Strong support base (bottom bounce).
Around 1100–1110: Near-term support seen during recent consolidation.
Volume: Spike in volume near the bounce area suggests potential accumulation or reversal interest.
📈 Trend Setup & Strategy 🔹 Short-Term View (1–2 weeks) Bias: Neutral to Slightly Bullish (only on breakout confirmation)
Key Trigger: A confirmed breakout above the descending trendline (above 1170 with good volume) can initiate a bullish move.
Entry: Buy on breakout above 1175 (hourly close above this with volume confirmation)
Target:
First: 1229
Second: 1252
Stop Loss: Below 1120 (to stay safe from false breakout whipsaws)
🔸 Medium-Term View (2–4 weeks) Bias: Cautiously Bullish
Condition: Sustaining above 1229 could trigger a rally toward 1276 and 1335
Target:
First: 1276
Second: 1335
SL: Below 1190 (trailing SL once price crosses 1229)
🔻 Long-Term View (1–3 months) Bias: Watch for trend reversal confirmation
Bullish Reversal Signal: Only confirmed if price breaks and sustains above 1335 and starts forming higher highs and higher lows on daily/weekly chart.
Target:
First: 1335
Long-term: 1404
SL: Can use 1220 as SL for positional trades (post breakout)
📉 Alternate Bearish Scenario If the price fails to break above the trendline (around 1170), and breaks below 1100 again:
Downside Target:
First: 1021
Further: 990–980 zone (based on price action, not shown in current chart)
🧠 Summary
View Trend Entry Targets Stop Loss Short-Term Bullish above 1175 Above 1175 1229, 1252 1120 Medium-Term Bullish on breakout Above 1229 1276, 1335 1190 Long-Term Bullish above 1335 Positional Buy 1335, 1404 1220
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