Based on the Nifty 50 2-hour chart you've shared, here's a detailed technical analysis and trade setup, including target, stop loss, support/resistance levels, and trend views across short, medium, and long terms.
🔍 Chart Observations: Pattern & Price Action:
There's a "W" pattern (Double Bottom) which typically suggests a bullish reversal.
The price has hit the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level (~24,551.80) and is facing resistance.
Currently, it's at 24,291.60, slightly below the recent highs.
Fibonacci Levels (from swing high to swing low):
0.382: 24,551.80 (Resistance)
0.5: 23,590.30 (Support if breakdown)
0.618: 22,628.80 (Major support)
0.786: 21,259.90 (Long-term support)
Volume: A spike in volume confirms the recent up move — healthy for bullish continuation if sustained.
RSI Indicator:
RSI is near overbought (>70), indicating possible short-term cool-off.
A bearish crossover is starting to form — suggests a potential short-term dip or correction.
📌 Technical View Summary: ✅ Short Term (1-2 weeks): Trend: Likely minor pullback or consolidation
Action: Wait for dip to 23,850–23,590 zone for fresh buying
Buy Zone: 23,850 to 23,590
Target: 24,550 (then 24,900)
Stop Loss: 23,450 (below 0.5 fib & breakdown of neckline)
✅ Medium Term (2-6 weeks): Trend: Bullish Bias
Pattern: W breakout with retest potential
Buy on dip for positional long
Targets:
T1: 24,550
T2: 25,000
T3: 25,500+
Stop Loss: Below 23,200 (0.618 fib)
✅ Long Term (2-3 months or more): Trend: Reversal in progress from previous downtrend
Structure: Formation of higher lows
If price sustains above 24,550: Long-term breakout towards 26,000+
Invalidation Level: Below 21,250 (0.786 fib) — breakdown structure
🔄 Buy or Sell Setup Recommendation:
Position Action Entry SL Targets Buy on Dip Long 23,850–23,590 23,200 24,550 / 25,000 / 25,500 Aggressive Sellers Short (only if rejection confirmed at 24,550) ~24,500 24,600 23,850 / 23,600 🔁 Support & Resistance Levels: Resistance:
24,550 (Fibonacci 0.382 + previous top)
25,000 (psychological + potential supply)
Support:
23,850 (mid fib zone)
23,590 (0.5 fib)
22,628 (0.618 fib - strong support)
21,259 (0.786 fib - long-term base)
No comments:
Post a Comment