Thursday, April 24, 2025

Nifty 50 SPOT OVERVIEW

 




NOTE  :-  Nifty has gone up too much, so profit booking is possible, so be careful, now the downward movement can come again, the market can go down anytime.


Based on the Nifty 50 2-hour chart you've shared, here's a detailed technical analysis and trade setup, including target, stop loss, support/resistance levels, and trend views across short, medium, and long terms.

🔍 Chart Observations: Pattern & Price Action:

There's a "W" pattern (Double Bottom) which typically suggests a bullish reversal.

The price has hit the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level (~24,551.80) and is facing resistance.

Currently, it's at 24,291.60, slightly below the recent highs.

Fibonacci Levels (from swing high to swing low):

0.382: 24,551.80 (Resistance)

0.5: 23,590.30 (Support if breakdown)

0.618: 22,628.80 (Major support)

0.786: 21,259.90 (Long-term support)

Volume: A spike in volume confirms the recent up move — healthy for bullish continuation if sustained.

RSI Indicator:

RSI is near overbought (>70), indicating possible short-term cool-off.

A bearish crossover is starting to form — suggests a potential short-term dip or correction.

📌 Technical View Summary: ✅ Short Term (1-2 weeks): Trend: Likely minor pullback or consolidation

Action: Wait for dip to 23,850–23,590 zone for fresh buying

Buy Zone: 23,850 to 23,590

Target: 24,550 (then 24,900)

Stop Loss: 23,450 (below 0.5 fib & breakdown of neckline)

✅ Medium Term (2-6 weeks): Trend: Bullish Bias

Pattern: W breakout with retest potential

Buy on dip for positional long

Targets:

T1: 24,550

T2: 25,000

T3: 25,500+

Stop Loss: Below 23,200 (0.618 fib)

✅ Long Term (2-3 months or more): Trend: Reversal in progress from previous downtrend

Structure: Formation of higher lows

If price sustains above 24,550: Long-term breakout towards 26,000+

Invalidation Level: Below 21,250 (0.786 fib) — breakdown structure

🔄 Buy or Sell Setup Recommendation:

Position Action Entry SL Targets Buy on Dip Long 23,850–23,590 23,200 24,550 / 25,000 / 25,500 Aggressive Sellers Short (only if rejection confirmed at 24,550) ~24,500 24,600 23,850 / 23,600 🔁 Support & Resistance Levels: Resistance:

24,550 (Fibonacci 0.382 + previous top)

25,000 (psychological + potential supply)

Support:

23,850 (mid fib zone)

23,590 (0.5 fib)

22,628 (0.618 fib - strong support)

21,259 (0.786 fib - long-term base)

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