Monday, May 5, 2025

Gold Futures OVERVIEW

 



Based on your provided Gold Futures (30-min chart from MCX), here’s a comprehensive technical analysis, including target, stop loss, support-resistance levels, trend setup, and timeframe outlook (short, medium, and long term):

🔍 1. Technical Setup Summary: Chart Pattern: Appears to follow an M-shaped harmonic (potential Bat/Butterfly pattern) or Fibonacci retracement reaction.

Current Price: ₹93,094

Key Fibonacci Levels:

0.382: ₹87,038

0.5: ₹90,581 (Current support)

0.618: ₹94,124 (Immediate resistance)

0.786: ₹99,169 (Strong resistance / long-term target zone)

📉 Support & Resistance Levels Type Price Level (₹) Comment Immediate Support 90,581 (Fib 0.5) Strong demand zone Major Support 87,038 (Fib 0.382) Critical; breakdown could turn bearish Immediate Resistance 94,124 (Fib 0.618) Major resistance; price may face rejection Strong Resistance 99,169 (Fib 0.786) Possible medium/long-term target

📈 Trend Setup Short-Term Trend (30-min):

Showing signs of recovery from the 0.5 retracement zone.

RSI is neutral (around 48), with a possible bullish crossover forming.

Volume is steady but not aggressive — watch for breakout volume.

Medium-Term Trend (Daily View Needed):

Likely still in a broad uptrend, but undergoing retracement/consolidation.

If price holds above 90,581, the uptrend remains intact.

Long-Term Trend (Weekly View Needed):

Bullish bias unless the 87,038 level is broken.

🎯 Trade Setup ✅ Bullish View (if 90,581 support holds): Entry: Near ₹92,800–93,000

Stop Loss: ₹90,400 (below 0.5 Fib support)

Targets:

Target 1: ₹94,100 (0.618 Fib)

Target 2: ₹96,328 (recent swing high)

Target 3: ₹99,169 (0.786 Fib – Long term)

❌ Bearish View (if price breaks below ₹90,400): Entry: Below ₹90,400

Stop Loss: ₹91,000

Targets:

Target 1: ₹87,038 (0.382 Fib)

Target 2: ₹86,646 (swing low)

🕒 Timeframe Outlook Timeframe View Commentary Short Term (1–3 days) Neutral to Bullish Watch ₹90,581 support zone Medium Term (1–2 weeks) Bullish Bias Potential for ₹94K+ retest Long Term (1 month+) Bullish As long as price stays above ₹87K, trend intact

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