Saturday, June 21, 2025

Gold Futures (MCX) overview





Gold Futures (MCX) daily chart, here's a comprehensive technical analysis covering target, stop loss, support/resistance levels, and views across short, medium, and long term:


🔍 Technical View Overview

📊 Indicators Used:

  • Fibonacci Retracement (from ₹82,061 to approx ₹101,603)

  • RSI (14) – Currently around 58.74 (neutral to mildly bullish)

  • Candlestick Pattern – Showing consolidation near key Fibonacci levels


🧱 Support & Resistance Levels

Level TypePrice (₹)Remarks
Immediate Resistance99,500 – 100,000Psychological & Fibonacci 0.618 level
Major Resistance101,6000.618 Fib level – significant barrier
Immediate Support97,870Fibonacci 0.5 level – strong recent support
Major Support95,000Past consolidation & breakout area
Key Support92,000Last demand zone before major fall begins
Strong Base82,061Fibonacci 0 level – long-term base

🎯 Price Action & Trend Analysis

  • Price is consolidating between 97,800 – 99,500 range.

  • Golden ratio (0.618 @ 101,603) is acting as a strong resistance.

  • RSI is below overbought zone, showing no extreme trend pressure.

  • Trend is bullish but momentum is slowing near the resistance zone.


🧭 Target & Stop Loss

🔹 Short Term (1–2 weeks):

  • View: Sideways to Mildly Bullish

  • Buy above ₹99,500 (breakout confirmation)

  • 🎯 Target: ₹100,800 – ₹101,600

  • 🛑 Stop Loss: ₹97,600

🔸 Medium Term (1–2 months):

  • View: Bullish if sustains above ₹99,500

  • 🎯 Target: ₹103,000 – ₹105,000 (above 0.618 Fib extension)

  • 🛑 Stop Loss: ₹95,000 (below medium-term support)

🔹 Long Term (3–6 months or more):

  • View: Bullish trend intact above ₹92,000

  • 🎯 Target: ₹108,000 – ₹110,000 (Fibonacci extension levels beyond 1.0)

  • 🛑 Stop Loss: ₹92,000 (key structural support)


📈 Conclusion

  • The chart shows healthy uptrend supported by Fib levels.

  • ₹101,600 is the critical breakout level for fresh highs.

  • Current consolidation may lead to a breakout or retest of ₹97,800 zone.

  • RSI and trend indicate bulls still in control, but volume and momentum confirmation are needed for strong upside.

No comments:

Gold Futures (MCX) overview

Gold Futures (MCX) daily chart , here's a comprehensive technical analysis covering target, stop loss, support/resistance levels , and ...