BANKINDIA – Swing Trade (1–30 Days) | TRUE VALUE & FACT VALUE VIEW
Trend Bias: Bullish (post-breakout, above 200-DMA)
📌 Trade Setup (Clean & Actionable) Buy Zone: ➡️ 143 – 145
Stop Loss (Risk Defined): ➡️ 134 – 136 (Decisive safety below 200-DMA + prior base)
🎯 Targets T1: 155 T2: 162 T3 (Positional extension): 170 – 172
📊 Risk–Reward & Upside (Fact Check) From 144 (avg buy) → 162 = ~12–13% upside
Stretch 170–172 = ~18–19% upside
Downside risk to 135 ≈ 6–6.5%
Risk : Reward ≈ 1 : 2.5 (healthy swing structure)
🔍 Technical Validation (High-Probability Factors) 200-DMA reclaimed after prolonged stay below → early trend-reversal confirmation
3-month consolidation breakout → trapped sellers absorbed
Higher probability follow-through in PSU Bank momentum phase
Supply zone seen at 150–160, hence staggered booking advised
🧠 Trade Management (Professional Discipline) At 155: ✔️ Book partial profits ✔️ Move SL to cost (144)
At 162: ✔️ Trail SL to 152–154 ✔️ Hold remaining for positional move
Exit Conditions: ❌ Daily close below 200-DMA ❌ Or below 150 after achieving T2
📈 Final Verdict Preferred Side: ✅ BUY ON DIPS
Momentum Valid Above: 142
Trend Invalid Below: 134
Conclusion: BANKINDIA is in an early bullish reversal phase with a well-defined base. As long as price sustains above the reclaimed 200-DMA, the probability favors a 12–18% swing upside with controlled risk.
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