Monday, May 19, 2025

Nifty 50 overview

 



Based on the chart provided for Nifty 50 Index (1-minute time frame), here is a detailed technical analysis and insights for short-term and long-term investment decisions:

📉 Current Status: Price: Around ₹25,012

Time: Intraday chart (1-minute)

Observed Range:

Support: ~24,960 (blue horizontal support)

Resistance: ~25,080 (blue horizontal resistance)

Price is consolidating in a tight range of ~120 points.

🔍 Short-Term Analysis (Intraday to a Few Days): 📌 Trade Setup: Buy if price sustains above 25,080 with strong volume.

Sell/Short if price breaks down below 24,960 with confirmation.

✅ Bullish Scenario (Breakout): Entry: Above 25,080

Target: 25,160 – 25,200 (previous swing highs, next resistance)

Stop Loss: 24,980

Potential Gain: ~0.6% – 0.8%

Risk: ~0.4%

Risk:Reward: ~1.5–2:1

❌ Bearish Scenario (Breakdown): Entry: Below 24,960

Target: 24,880 – 24,840 (orange support level visible on the chart)

Stop Loss: 25,040

Potential Gain: ~0.5% – 0.7%

Risk: ~0.3%

Risk:Reward: ~2:1

🕰️ Medium-Term to Long-Term View: 🔧 Technical Outlook (Daily/Weekly): While the current chart is a 1-minute intraday chart, here's what we consider for broader outlook:

📈 For Medium-Term Holding (1–4 weeks): Buy above: 25,200 with volume confirmation

Target: 25,500 – 25,800

Stop Loss: 24,880

Potential Upside: ~2% – 3%

Risk: ~1%

📊 For Long-Term Holding (1–6 months+): Buy Zone: Accumulate on dips between 24,600 – 24,900

Target: 26,000 – 26,500 (assuming election rally and positive sentiment)

Stop Loss: Close below 24,400

Potential Upside: ~5% – 6%

Risk: ~2.5%

📌 Important Observations: Sideways Range in the short term suggests indecision; breakout or breakdown will give direction.

Volume confirmation is key—watch for spikes during breakout levels.

Macro factors like interest rates, inflation, global cues, and elections will impact medium/long term.

📊 Overall Potential: Term Potential Upside Stop Loss Level Reward:Risk Estimate Intraday 0.6% – 0.8% 0.4% 1.5 – 2:1 Short-Term 2% – 3% 1% 2 – 3:1 Long-Term 5% – 6% 2.5% 2:1

🧠 Key Takeaways: Wait for breakout (above 25,080) or breakdown (below 24,960) before taking action.

Use tight stop losses to manage risk.

Long-term looks positive if index holds above 24,400 in the coming weeks.

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