TRADE Bias: Intraday – SELL on Rejection (until breakout confirmed) 📉 INTRADAY SELL SETUP (Reversal Trade) Sell Below: ₹3640
Target: ₹3600 → ₹3550
Stop Loss: ₹3665
Reason: Repeated rejection near resistance with weak follow-through.
📈 Alternate INTRADAY BUY Setup (Breakout Trade) Buy Above: ₹3735
Target: ₹3790 – ₹3820
Stop Loss: ₹3705
Reason: Breakout from trendline + 0.5 Fib = strong momentum trigger.
🔹 POSITIONAL TRADE PLAN (Swing 2–3 Weeks) 📈 Positional View: BUY on Breakout Only ⚠️ Avoid long until price breaks out above 3735 on a closing basis. 🛒 Buy Entry: Above ₹3735–3750 (daily close) Target 1: ₹3830 (Fibonacci 0.618 level)
Target 2: ₹3960 (Fibonacci 0.786 level)
Stop Loss: ₹3620 (swing low)
Risk-Reward: ~1:2.5
📉 If Rejected at Resistance (Positional Sell) Sell Entry: Near ₹3730 with rejection wick or bearish candle
Target: ₹3540 then ₹3315
Stop Loss: ₹3750
🎯 Final Trade Decision: Trade Type Direction Entry Targets Stop Loss Bias Intraday Sell Below ₹3640 ₹3600 → ₹3550 ₹3665 Bearish Intraday Buy Above ₹3735 ₹3790 → ₹3820 ₹3705 Bullish on breakout Positional Buy Above ₹3735 ₹3830 → ₹3960 ₹3620 Bullish Breakout Positional Sell Below ₹3635 ₹3540 → ₹3315 ₹3750 Bearish if rejected
✅ Recommendation: Intraday Today: Lean bearish below ₹3640.
Wait for breakout above ₹3735 for both intraday & positional buy.
Positional call is BUY only if the daily candle closes above 3735 with strength
Larsen & Toubro Ltd (L&T) across short-term, medium-term, and long-term perspectives using the chart you've shared and technical principles (price action, trendlines, Fibonacci levels, and support/resistance zones):
🔹 1. SHORT-TERM VIEW (1–2 Weeks)
📊 Trend:
-
Consolidation to minor bullish bias near a key resistance zone (3733).
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Price is testing a descending trendline and 0.5 Fibonacci level.
⚙️ Key Levels:
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Resistance: 3733 → 3831
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Support: 3635 → 3541
📈 Possible Scenarios:
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Bullish Bias: If closes above 3733 with volume, target 3830-3840 quickly.
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Bearish Risk: Failure at 3733 or breakdown below 3635 targets 3540 zone.
🎯 Short-Term Strategy:
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Buy on breakout: Above 3735
-
SL: 3635
-
Target: 3830–3840
-
-
Sell on rejection: Near 3730
-
SL: 3745
-
Target: 3541
-
⏱️ Short-Term View Summary:
Direction | Entry Zone | Target | SL | Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Bullish | 3735 | 3830 | 3635 | +2.5% |
Bearish | 3730 | 3541 | 3745 | -5% |
🔹 2. MEDIUM-TERM VIEW (2–6 Weeks)
📊 Trend:
-
Recovering from downtrend, forming higher lows.
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Price consolidating near 50% retracement — decision point.
⚙️ Key Levels:
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Major Resistance: 3831 → 3964 (0.618–0.786 Fib zone)
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Support Zone: 3541 → 3315
📈 Scenario Possibilities:
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Sustainable Breakout above 3830 could open rally toward 3960–4000.
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Breakdown below 3540 will shift the medium-term trend back to bearish.
🎯 Medium-Term Strategy:
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Buy breakout: Above 3835
-
SL: 3700
-
Target: 3960–4000
-
-
Sell on breakdown: Below 3540
-
SL: 3630
-
Target: 3320–3350
-
📊 Medium-Term View Summary:
Direction | Entry Zone | Target | SL | Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Bullish | 3835 | 3960 | 3700 | +3.2% |
Bearish | 3540 | 3315 | 3630 | -6.5% |
🔹 3. LONG-TERM VIEW (2–6 Months)
📊 Trend:
-
Primary uptrend intact; currently undergoing a correction within a long-term bullish structure.
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Consolidation pattern may be a bullish continuation if price sustains above 3730–3830 zone.
⚙️ Key Long-Term Levels:
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Major Resistance: 3964 → 4200+
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Strong Long-Term Support: 3315 → 3200
🧠Key Indicators (based on structure):
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Sustained movement above 3830–3960 can push price back to previous highs and beyond (4200+).
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Breakdown below 3315 would indicate a deeper structural weakness.
🎯 Long-Term Strategy:
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Accumulate if above 3830 holds.
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Target: 4100–4200
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SL: 3540
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Risk/Reward: Favorable
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📊 Long-Term View Summary:
Direction | Entry Zone | Target | SL | Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Bullish | 3830–3900 | 4200 | 3540 | +8% |
Bearish | Below 3315 | 3000–2900 | 3450 | -10%+ |
✅ Final Summary Table:
Term | Bias | Key Levels (Support/Resistance) | Strategy | Potential Move |
---|---|---|---|---|
Short-Term | Neutral/Bullish | Support: 3635 / Resistance: 3733 | Buy breakout above 3735 | +2.5% to +4% |
Medium-Term | Bullish if 3830 breaks | Support: 3541 / Resistance: 3831–3960 | Accumulate on 3835 breakout | +3% to +6% |
Long-Term | Bullish | Support: 3315 / Resistance: 3960–4200 | Hold for 4200+ target | +8% to +10% |
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