Monday, June 2, 2025

Larsen & Toubro Ltd (L&T) STOCK OF THE VIEW

 



TRADE Bias: Intraday – SELL on Rejection (until breakout confirmed) 📉 INTRADAY SELL SETUP (Reversal Trade) Sell Below: ₹3640

Target: ₹3600 → ₹3550

Stop Loss: ₹3665

Reason: Repeated rejection near resistance with weak follow-through.

📈 Alternate INTRADAY BUY Setup (Breakout Trade) Buy Above: ₹3735

Target: ₹3790 – ₹3820

Stop Loss: ₹3705

Reason: Breakout from trendline + 0.5 Fib = strong momentum trigger.

🔹 POSITIONAL TRADE PLAN (Swing 2–3 Weeks) 📈 Positional View: BUY on Breakout Only ⚠️ Avoid long until price breaks out above 3735 on a closing basis. 🛒 Buy Entry: Above ₹3735–3750 (daily close) Target 1: ₹3830 (Fibonacci 0.618 level)

Target 2: ₹3960 (Fibonacci 0.786 level)

Stop Loss: ₹3620 (swing low)

Risk-Reward: ~1:2.5

📉 If Rejected at Resistance (Positional Sell) Sell Entry: Near ₹3730 with rejection wick or bearish candle

Target: ₹3540 then ₹3315

Stop Loss: ₹3750

🎯 Final Trade Decision: Trade Type Direction Entry Targets Stop Loss Bias Intraday Sell Below ₹3640 ₹3600 → ₹3550 ₹3665 Bearish Intraday Buy Above ₹3735 ₹3790 → ₹3820 ₹3705 Bullish on breakout Positional Buy Above ₹3735 ₹3830 → ₹3960 ₹3620 Bullish Breakout Positional Sell Below ₹3635 ₹3540 → ₹3315 ₹3750 Bearish if rejected

✅ Recommendation: Intraday Today: Lean bearish below ₹3640.

Wait for breakout above ₹3735 for both intraday & positional buy.

Positional call is BUY only if the daily candle closes above 3735 with strength


Larsen & Toubro Ltd (L&T) across short-term, medium-term, and long-term perspectives using the chart you've shared and technical principles (price action, trendlines, Fibonacci levels, and support/resistance zones):


🔹 1. SHORT-TERM VIEW (1–2 Weeks)

📊 Trend:

  • Consolidation to minor bullish bias near a key resistance zone (3733).

  • Price is testing a descending trendline and 0.5 Fibonacci level.

⚙️ Key Levels:

  • Resistance: 3733 → 3831

  • Support: 3635 → 3541

📈 Possible Scenarios:

  • Bullish Bias: If closes above 3733 with volume, target 3830-3840 quickly.

  • Bearish Risk: Failure at 3733 or breakdown below 3635 targets 3540 zone.

🎯 Short-Term Strategy:

  • Buy on breakout: Above 3735

    • SL: 3635

    • Target: 3830–3840

  • Sell on rejection: Near 3730

    • SL: 3745

    • Target: 3541

⏱️ Short-Term View Summary:

DirectionEntry ZoneTargetSLPotential
Bullish373538303635+2.5%
Bearish373035413745-5%

🔹 2. MEDIUM-TERM VIEW (2–6 Weeks)

📊 Trend:

  • Recovering from downtrend, forming higher lows.

  • Price consolidating near 50% retracement — decision point.

⚙️ Key Levels:

  • Major Resistance: 3831 → 3964 (0.618–0.786 Fib zone)

  • Support Zone: 3541 → 3315

📈 Scenario Possibilities:

  • Sustainable Breakout above 3830 could open rally toward 3960–4000.

  • Breakdown below 3540 will shift the medium-term trend back to bearish.

🎯 Medium-Term Strategy:

  • Buy breakout: Above 3835

    • SL: 3700

    • Target: 3960–4000

  • Sell on breakdown: Below 3540

    • SL: 3630

    • Target: 3320–3350

📊 Medium-Term View Summary:

DirectionEntry ZoneTargetSLPotential
Bullish383539603700+3.2%
Bearish354033153630-6.5%

🔹 3. LONG-TERM VIEW (2–6 Months)

📊 Trend:

  • Primary uptrend intact; currently undergoing a correction within a long-term bullish structure.

  • Consolidation pattern may be a bullish continuation if price sustains above 3730–3830 zone.

⚙️ Key Long-Term Levels:

  • Major Resistance: 3964 → 4200+

  • Strong Long-Term Support: 3315 → 3200

🧠 Key Indicators (based on structure):

  • Sustained movement above 3830–3960 can push price back to previous highs and beyond (4200+).

  • Breakdown below 3315 would indicate a deeper structural weakness.

🎯 Long-Term Strategy:

  • Accumulate if above 3830 holds.

    • Target: 4100–4200

    • SL: 3540

    • Risk/Reward: Favorable

📊 Long-Term View Summary:

DirectionEntry ZoneTargetSLPotential
Bullish3830–390042003540+8%
BearishBelow 33153000–29003450-10%+

✅ Final Summary Table:

TermBiasKey Levels (Support/Resistance)StrategyPotential Move
Short-TermNeutral/BullishSupport: 3635 / Resistance: 3733Buy breakout above 3735+2.5% to +4%
Medium-TermBullish if 3830 breaksSupport: 3541 / Resistance: 3831–3960Accumulate on 3835 breakout+3% to +6%
Long-TermBullishSupport: 3315 / Resistance: 3960–4200Hold for 4200+ target+8% to +10%

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