Monday, June 30, 2025

RELIANCE INDUSTRIES LTD STOCK OF THE VIEW

 


RELIANCE INDUSTRIES LTD based on the chart you've provided and key indicators:

🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 📈 Chart Setup (1H Timeframe) CMP: ₹1515.00

Recent High: ₹1520.30

Recent Low: ₹1413.40

Fibonacci Levels:

0.5 Level: ₹1571.70 (Target 1)

0.618 Level: ₹1609.05 (Target 2)

🔄 Trend: Short-Term: Uptrend (Higher highs and higher lows visible)

Medium-Term: Breakout of consolidation zone above ₹1480-1490

Volume: Not shown in chart, but price momentum suggests accumulation

🔐 KEY LEVELS Type Price (₹) Notes Immediate Resistance 1515-1520 Current level, breakout needed Target 1 1571 50% Fibonacci Target 2 1609 61.8% Fibonacci Strong Resistance 1610+ May see profit-booking Support 1 1490 Recent breakout level Support 2 1450 Swing support Strong Support 1413 Fib base

🎯 Trade Setup Buy Range: ₹1500–1515

Target 1: ₹1570

Target 2: ₹1605–1610

Stop Loss: ₹1475 (Just below support zone)

✅ Risk-Reward Ratio = Favorable (~1:2)

📊 Indicators RSI (14): 81.23 (Overbought)

Short-term pullback possible

Look for dip buying around ₹1490-1500

Turtle Soup pattern: Reversal potential – watch closely

Price Action: Bullish breakout zone

📘 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS 📌 Key Positives: Diversified Business: Telecom (Jio), Retail, Oil & Gas – reduces risk

Strong Balance Sheet: High EBITDA and robust cash flows

Capex Completed: Many projects are now revenue-generating

Digital Push: Jio Financial Services and AI-focused investments

De-merger value unlocking (Jio Financial / Retail IPO potential)

⚠️ Risks: Crude oil dependency still affects earnings

Global slowdown / recession risk

High capex and debt pressure in the past (now easing)

🔢 Financial Snapshot (FY24): Revenue: ₹10.5 Lakh Cr+

PAT: ₹73,670 Cr

PE Ratio: ~23x (Fair for diversified large-cap)

ROE: ~10-12%

🔮 VIEW SUMMARY Horizon View Target Stop Loss Short-Term (1–15 days) Bullish ₹1570 ₹1475 Medium-Term (1–3 months) Bullish ₹1600+ ₹1450 Long-Term (6+ months) Strong Buy ₹1700–1800+ ₹1410 (Trailing SL)

✅ RECOMMENDATION 📌 Buy on dips toward ₹1500 with SL ₹1475 📈 Target ₹1570–1609 📉 If price breaks below ₹1470 with volume, reconsider position

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