NIFTY 50 – TRUE VALUE, TARGET–STOP LOSS & MONEY-MAKING SIDE (Based on shared 1H chart)
- CURRENT TECHNICAL STRUCTURE Trend: Higher-high & higher-low structure intact → Short–medium term uptrend
Pattern: Rising channel / ascending structure
Key Moving Average: Price is holding above the rising long-term MA → trend support
Momentum: Pullback from upper resistance, bounce from channel support → buy-on-dip behavior
- SUPPORT & RESISTANCE (IMPORTANT LEVELS) 🔹 Supports S1: 25,850 – 25,900 (channel + demand zone)
S2: 25,650 – 25,700 (swing + trend support)
Major Base: 25,300 – 25,350 (long-term trend line)
🔹 Resistances R1: 26,200 – 26,250 (recent supply / selling zone)
R2: 26,400 – 26,450 (upper channel & breakout level)
R3: 26,650 – 26,800 (projection / extension)
- BUY / SELL LEVEL WITH TARGET & STOP LOSS ✅ BUY SETUP (HIGH-PROBABILITY SIDE) Buy Zone: 25,900 – 25,980 Stop Loss: 25,700 (below channel & swing low)
Targets:
T1: 26,200
T2: 26,400
T3: 26,650+
➡️ Risk–Reward: Favorable (trend-aligned trade)
❌ SELL SETUP (ONLY IF BREAKDOWN) Sell Below: 25,700 (hourly close)
Stop Loss: 25,980 Targets:
T1: 25,450
T2: 25,300
➡️ Selling only valid if trend support fails
- WHICH SIDE MAKES MONEY? Time Frame Direction Reason Short Term BUY Bounce from channel + higher low Medium Term BUY Trend intact, price above MA Long Term BUY / HOLD Structure positive unless < 25,300
➡️ Money-making side = BUY SIDE (till support holds)
- FUNDAMENTAL VIEW (NIFTY INDEX) Macro: India growth strong, capex cycle supportive
Earnings: Stable to positive outlook for index heavyweights
Liquidity: Domestic flows supportive, corrections being bought
Risk Factors: Global volatility / US yields → short-term swings only
➡️ Fundamentally supportive for medium–long term
- TRUE VALUE ZONE (FAIR RANGE) Fair Value Band: 25,600 – 26,200
Below 25,600: Undervalued → accumulation zone
Above 26,400: Overheated short-term → profit booking risk
FINAL CONCLUSION Trend: Up
Bias: Buy on dips
Best Strategy: Buy near support with defined stop loss
Sell only if: 25,700 breaks decisively
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