Tuesday, December 30, 2025

RELIANCE INDUSTRIES SELL ON RISE SHORT TERM

 





RELIANCE INDUSTRIES (30-min, NSE) based strictly on the chart you shared.


📊 RELIANCE INDUSTRIES LTD – TECHNICAL & TRADE VIEW

🔹 CMP (Approx): ₹1,544

🔹 Chart Timeframe: 30 Minutes


1️⃣ TREND ANALYSIS

🔻 Short-Term Trend

  • Trend: Bearish

  • Price is making lower highs & lower lows

  • Trading below EMA cluster

  • Falling channel visible → confirms downtrend

🔁 Medium-Term Trend

  • Trend: Sideways to Bearish

  • Repeated failure near ₹1,555–1,560

  • Distribution seen on higher levels

🔼 Long-Term Trend

  • Trend: Neutral to Mildly Bullish

  • Long-term structure still safe above ₹1,500

  • Trend weakens only below ₹1,500


2️⃣ INDICATOR VIEW

📉 EMA (9 / 21 / 50)

  • Price below all key EMAs

  • EMAs acting as dynamic resistance

  • Any rise likely to face selling pressure

📊 RSI (14)

  • RSI around 37–39

  • Below 50 → weak momentum

  • Not oversold → downside still open

👉 Indicator Verdict:
Momentum favors SELL on rise, not aggressive buying.


3️⃣ SUPPORT & RESISTANCE (FACT LEVELS)

🟢 SUPPORT ZONES

  • Immediate: ₹1,540 – ₹1,535

  • Major: ₹1,520 – ₹1,510

  • Breakdown below ₹1,520 → fast selling possible

🔴 RESISTANCE ZONES

  • Immediate: ₹1,550 – ₹1,555

  • Major: ₹1,565 – ₹1,575

  • Trend reversal only above ₹1,575


4️⃣ TRADE SETUP – TARGET & STOP LOSS

🔴 SELL SETUP (PROFITABLE SIDE – PREFERRED)

  • Sell Zone: ₹1,548 – ₹1,555

  • Target 1: ₹1,535

  • Target 2: ₹1,520

  • Stop Loss: ₹1,565 (closing basis)

Reason:
Downtrend + EMA rejection + RSI below 50


🟢 BUY SETUP (ONLY ON CONFIRMATION)

  • Buy Only Above: ₹1,575 (sustain)

  • Target: ₹1,595 – ₹1,610

  • Stop Loss: ₹1,555

Reason:
Breakout above channel + EMA recovery


5️⃣ WHICH SIDE MAKES PROFIT?

TimeframeProfitable Side
Short TermSELL on rise
Medium TermSell / Range trade
Long TermBuy only on dips near ₹1,500

6️⃣ MULTI-TIMEFRAME SUMMARY

🕒 Short Term (1–3 days)

  • Bias: Bearish

  • Strategy: Sell near resistance

🕒 Medium Term (1–3 weeks)

  • Bias: Range-bound with negative tilt

  • Range: ₹1,500 – ₹1,580

🕒 Long Term (Positional)

  • Bias: Neutral

  • Bullish only above ₹1,600

  • Strong support near ₹1,480–1,500


7️⃣ FINAL TECHNICAL VERDICT

✔ Trend is bearish
✔ Indicators support selling pressure
✔ Sell on rise is safer strategy
✔ Avoid buying without breakout confirmation

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