Technical Analysis of Nifty Bank Index (1H Chart)
1. Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Support: 47,993.35
Major Support Zone: Around 47,684.70 (historical support level)
Immediate Resistance: 49,473.05 (50% Fibonacci retracement level)
Major Resistance Zone: 50,612.90 - 51,328 (61.8% Fibonacci level, strong resistance)
Higher Resistance: 54,024.55 (Potential breakout target if price sustains above 51,328)
2. Fibonacci Retracement Analysis:
38.2% Retracement: 47,473.05 (Key level where price is consolidating)
50% Retracement: 49,473.05 (Midpoint level, acts as resistance)
61.8% Retracement: 51,328 (Golden ratio, strong resistance)
78.6% Retracement: 54,024.55 (Strong bullish target if uptrend continues)
3. Technical Indicators:
Stochastic RSI:
Current value: 70.21 (Near overbought region, suggesting a possible pullback or continuation of momentum)
54.79 (Signal line, crossing above 60 may indicate strength in the uptrend)
Volume: Spike in volume suggests possible bullish movement.
4. Target and Stop-Loss Levels:
Short-Term Target: 49,473 (50% Fibonacci level)
Medium-Term Target: 50,612 - 51,328 (61.8% Fibonacci level)
Long-Term Target: 54,024 (78.6% Fibonacci level)
Stop-Loss for Long Positions: 47,684 (Below major support)
Stop-Loss for Short Positions: 49,800 (Above resistance, if price fails to sustain)
5. Summary:
Bullish View: If the price sustains above 48,877, it may test 49,473 and further 50,612.
Bearish View: If the price breaks below 47,993, it may retest 47,684 or lower.
Strategy: Monitor Stochastic RSI for confirmation of momentum. Buying near support levels with stop-loss below 47,684 is a low-risk strategy.
Nifty Bank Index - Short-Term, Medium-Term & Long-Term View
1️⃣ Short-Term View (Next Few Days to a Week)
📌 Trend: Neutral to Bullish
📌 Key Levels:
Support: 47,993
Resistance: 49,473 (50% Fibonacci level)
📌 Analysis:
The price is consolidating near support levels.
If 48,877 holds, a bounce toward 49,473 is likely.
A breakdown below 47,993 could trigger a move toward 47,684.
📌 Short-Term Strategy:
Bullish Bias: Buy near 48,000-48,200 with a target of 49,473.
Bearish Bias: Sell below 47,993, targeting 47,684 with a stop-loss at 48,500.
2️⃣ Medium-Term View (Next Few Weeks to a Month)
📌 Trend: Bullish if price sustains above 49,500
📌 Key Levels:
Support: 47,684
Resistance: 50,612 - 51,328 (61.8% Fibonacci level)
📌 Analysis:
A breakout above 49,473 can lead to 50,612 - 51,328 in the coming weeks.
Failure to break 49,473 may lead to another retest of 47,684.
📌 Medium-Term Strategy:
Buy on dips above 48,500 with a target of 50,612 - 51,328.
Avoid short positions unless the price breaks 47,500 decisively.
3️⃣ Long-Term View (Next 3-6 Months or More)
📌 Trend: Bullish if price crosses 51,328
📌 Key Levels:
Major Support: 47,000
Major Resistance: 54,024 (78.6% Fibonacci level)
📌 Analysis:
If the index clears 51,328, a rally toward 54,024 is possible.
A major breakdown below 47,000 could turn the trend bearish.
📌 Long-Term Strategy:
Bullish Scenario: Buy above 51,328 for a long-term target of 54,024.
Bearish Scenario: Below 47,000, expect weakness toward 45,000.
🔥 Conclusion:
✅ Short-Term: Sideways to bullish, watch 49,473.
✅ Medium-Term: Bullish above 49,500, target 51,328.
✅ Long-Term: Strong uptrend above 51,328, targeting 54,024.
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