FIRST TARGET DONE IT MAKE HIGH 1281 CMP 21/3/2025
Technical Analysis of Reliance Industries Ltd (1-Hour Chart) BUY above 1258
From the provided chart, here’s a breakdown of targets, stop-loss, support & resistance levels, and a technical view based on Fibonacci retracement, price action, and indicators.
1. Support & Resistance Levels
Support Levels:
1,217.20 (50% Fibonacci retracement)
1,157.10 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement, strong support)
Resistance Levels:
1,258.80 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement, critical resistance)
1,266.00 - 1,290.80 (previous supply zone)
1,330.60 (next major resistance, close to 78.6% Fibonacci level)
2. Target & Stop-Loss Strategy
Bullish Scenario (If price holds above 1,217.20)
Target 1: 1,258.80 (61.8% Fibonacci level)
Target 2: 1,290.80 (Resistance zone)
Target 3: 1,330.60 (Strong resistance)
Stop-loss: Below 1,217.20 (if price breaks this level, bearish trend may continue)
Bearish Scenario (If price falls below 1,217.20)
Target 1: 1,157.10 (38.2% Fibonacci support)
Target 2: 1,100 (psychological support level)
Stop-loss: Above 1,258.80 (if price moves beyond this, trend turns bullish)
3. Technical Indicators
Fibonacci Retracement: Price is hovering near 50%-61.8% retracement, a key decision area.
Volume Analysis: Recent volume is moderate; watch for volume spikes near support/resistance.
Stochastic RSI:
The RSI is around 47.61, indicating a neutral zone.
If it crosses above 50 and moves towards 70, bullish momentum may return.
If it drops below 40, bearish movement may continue.
Conclusion
Bullish View: If the price holds above 1,217.20, a breakout above 1,258.80 could push it towards 1,290.80 and 1,330.60.
Bearish View: A breakdown below 1,217.20 could lead to further downside towards 1,157.10.
Reliance Industries Ltd (NSE) - Short, Medium & Long-Term View
Based on the 1-hour chart, Fibonacci levels, support/resistance, and indicators, here’s a structured outlook:
1. Short-Term View (Next Few Days to 1-2 Weeks)
Current Trend: Neutral to Bearish (Price is struggling around the 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement)
Key Support: 1,217.20 (50% Fibonacci), 1,157.10 (38.2% Fibonacci)
Key Resistance: 1,258.80 (61.8% Fibonacci), 1,290.80 (previous supply zone)
Trade Setup:
Bullish: If price stays above 1,217.20 and crosses 1,258.80, expect a move toward 1,290.80
Bearish: If price breaks below 1,217.20, expect downside toward 1,157.10
Indicators:
Stochastic RSI is neutral, suggesting a consolidation phase before a clear move.
Watch for a breakout above 1,258.80 for bullish confirmation.
📌 Short-term Bias: Sideways to bearish unless 1,258.80 breaks.
2. Medium-Term View (1-3 Months)
Current Trend: Recovery Phase from Recent Downtrend
Key Levels:
Upside: 1,290.80 → 1,330.60
Downside: 1,157.10 → 1,100
Market Behavior:
If the stock sustains above 1,217.20, it could test 1,290.80 - 1,330.60 over the next 2-3 months.
If it breaks below 1,157.10, further downside is expected.
Technical Signal: Price is testing key retracement levels, meaning a breakout in either direction is imminent.
📌 Medium-term Bias: Cautiously bullish if 1,217.20 holds and price moves above 1,258.80.
3. Long-Term View (3+ Months to a Year)
Current Trend: Recovery Potential if 1,330.60 is Broken
Key Resistance: 1,330.60 (major breakout zone)
Key Support: 1,100 - 1,157.10 (long-term demand zone)
Factors to Watch:
If price breaks and holds above 1,330.60, it could trigger a long-term uptrend.
Below 1,100, a deeper correction might happen.
Fundamental drivers (earnings, crude oil prices, market sentiment) will play a role.
📌 Long-term Bias: Bullish above 1,330.60, bearish below 1,100.
Final Summary
Short-term (1-2 weeks): Sideways to bearish unless 1,258.80 is broken.
Medium-term (1-3 months): Cautiously bullish if price holds 1,217.20 and breaks 1,258.80.
Long-term (3+ months): Bullish above 1,330.60, bearish if below 1,100.
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