Gold Mini Futures (MCX) – 5-minute timeframe. Here's a detailed technical analysis along with target, stop loss, and view:
🔍 Technical View: Downtrend Line Breakout Attempt:
The price was following a clear downtrend, as shown by the black trendline.
It is now attempting to break above this trendline, which could signal a trend reversal or pullback.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels (from recent high to low):
0.382 level at 98,664
0.5 level at 98,111
0.618 level at 97,557
0.786 level at 96,769
Immediate Support Zone:
Strong support observed at 95,765 – marked on the chart and aligned with previous lows.
RSI Indicator (Bottom Panel):
The Stochastic RSI is rising from an oversold zone (below 20), indicating bullish momentum building up.
🎯 Intraday / Short-Term Strategy: ✅ Buy Entry Above: If price sustains above 96,400–96,450, indicating a trendline breakout confirmation.
🎯 Targets: Target 1: 96,769 (Fibonacci 0.786 level – minor resistance)
Target 2: 97,557 (0.618 level – strong resistance)
Target 3: 98,111 (0.5 retracement – medium-term pullback level)
🛑 Stop Loss: Place stop loss below 95,750 (previous swing low and major support zone).
📈 Technical Summary: Item Level (INR) Remarks Buy Zone 96,400–96,450 On breakout above trendline Stop Loss 95,750 Below strong support Target 1 96,769 First resistance at 0.786 Fib level Target 2 97,557 0.618 retracement, next logical level Target 3 98,111 Deeper retracement if momentum continues
⚠️ Caution: If price rejects the trendline and drops below 95,750, avoid long positions.
RSI needs to break above 60 to confirm strong bullish momentum.
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